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Where Did All the Latino Voters Go in 2014? The Case of Nevada
In 2004 John Judis and Ruy Teixeria wrote The Emerging Democratic Majority in which they argued that changing demographics were reshaping the country’s political geography in a manner that would help...
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So Goes Colorado…
In a recent article in the Los Angeles Times Mark Barabak examined the importance of the Mountain West, particularly Colorado, to Barack Obama’s 2008 and 2012 victories. Echoing many of the themes...
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Loretta Sanchez and the Growth of Latino Political Power in California
In the next few days, Democratic Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez is likely to announce her candidacy for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Barbara Boxer. This will widely be seen as a positive...
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5 Policy Issues that Show Why Jeb Bush Will Lose the Latino Vote
After Mitt Romney’s disastrous performance with Latino voters in 2012, some election observers have suggested Jeb Bush is the obvious candidate to help Republicans win over Latino voters. Bush’s...
View ArticleDACA’s Three-Year Anniversary and its Legacy for 2016 Election
Today marks the third anniversary of President Barack Obama’s Deferred Action on Childhood Arrivals (DACA) executive order, a critical moment in immigration policy history. DACA directed the Department...
View ArticleWelcome to “The New Nevada”
The June 1st conclusion to the 78th Session of the Nevada Legislature brought to the end one of the most improbable and significant sessions in the state’s history. Improbable in that a state under...
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The Latino Threshold to Win in 2016
In 2012, polling by Latino Decisions found that Mitt Romney won the support of just 23 percent of Latino voters. In 2016, the Republican presidential candidate will need twice that support to win the...
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On the Prospects of a Blue Arizona
This post summarizes a recent publication from the journal Politics of Groups and Identities, the full article can be read here. The Republican Party’s path to 270 Electoral Votes has become...
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Why Kamala Harris can’t win California without the Latino vote
On June 7, 2016 Kamala Harris and Loretta Sanchez made history. In November California will see the first ever U.S. Senate general election match-up between two Democrats. Not only two Democrats but...
View ArticleAnnouncing the 2016 Latino Tracking Poll – Week 1
Today Latino Decisions released the first wave of the 2016 election weekly tracking poll in partnership with NALEO and Noticias Telemundo. The poll will continue for 8 weekly installments every Monday...
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Latina Voters Say Adiós To Trump
Donald Trump’s ongoing derogatory remarks toward women have generated widespread criticism. Not only did he recently say that Hillary Clinton did not have “a presidential look,” but in the first...
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LD Vote Predict 2016: Latino Voters Poised to Cast Most Lopsided Presidential...
LD Vote Predict: 82% Clinton, 15% Trump, 3% other candidates (+/– 5.5%) In 2012 we unveiled our statistical model predicting election day vote called LD Vote Predict, which proved to be extremely...
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Latino voters say Democrats Are Mobilizing them to Vote by 3-1 margin
There are an estimated 27 million Latinos eligible to vote in 2016. While Latinos constitute about 11 percent of the national electorate, their share significantly increases in battleground states such...
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Mobilizing Latinos with Identity Appeals: Evidence from Two Voter Turnout...
Past research shows Latinos are more likely to vote and participate in politics when there is a Latino candidate on the ballot and when issues directly affecting the Latino community are at stake in...
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Latino Electorate On Track For Historic Turnout In 2016
According to the latest data from our national tracking poll, Latino Decisions projects that between 13.1 million and 14.7 million Latinos will vote in 2016. This estimate represents a three percent...
View ArticleThe Rundown on Latino Voter Election Eve Polling and Latino Exit Polls
Washington, DC – On a press call and webinar held today, Matt Barreto, UCLA Professor of Political Science and Chicano Studies, and Co-Founder of Latino Decisions, presented the results of the Latino...
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Latino voters want policy makers to aggressively combat global warming and...
In the eve of the 2016 presidential election, we asked Latino voters in the key states of Arizona, Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia about their environmental preferences....
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CA-34: Sanders Movement Lives On, Voters Reject Political Establishment
A new LD poll shows voters in California’s 34th congressional district give high marks to Senator Bernie Sanders, and many of the themes of his political movement, as more than a dozen candidates...
View ArticleTo win Texas, mobilize Texas Latinos
Happy New Year. It’s 2020 and a new decade dawns with what may be the most important presidential election in generations. During the holidays, my mind was on Texas and it occurred to me that...
View ArticleTexas-Sized Opportunities (An Update)
As we enter the final stretch of the presidential election in Texas, there is no better way to describe what is happening in Texas than UT’s big comeback win over Texas Tech on Saturday night. Much...
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